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USDA : Rice stocks, 08.28.02

USDA U.S. Department of Agriculture - August 28, 2002

Gr Lg 11-3  (8-02)




Rice
Stocks

National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA
Washington, D.C.


Released August 28, 2002, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.  For
information on "Rice Stocks" call Mark R. Miller at (202) 720-7688, office
hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.



Rough Rice Stocks Up 44 Percent From August 2001

Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 2002, totaled 31.8 million
hundredweight (cwt), up 44 percent from the total on August 1, 2001.  Stocks
held on farms totaled 5.18 million cwt, and off-farm stocks totaled
26.6 million cwt.  Long grain varieties accounted for 71 percent of the total
rough rice, medium grain accounted for 27 percent, and short grain varieties
accounted for 2 percent.

Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 4.93 million cwt, 11 percent above
the comparable figure  a year ago.  Milled rice stocks were comprised of
3.89 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.04 million cwt of second heads,
screenings, and brewers rice.


                        




               Rice Stocks:  By Position, United States, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :  On Farms  :  In Mills  :  In Whses   :             :
            :     or     :    and     :     not     :  In Ports   :    Total
    Date    :    Farm    :  Attached  :  Attached   :    or In    :     All
            :   Whses    :   Whses    : to Mills 1/ :   Transit   :Positions 2/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2002    :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 3/    :    31,725      15,325         66,279          179        113,508
Aug 1       :     5,180       6,599         19,728          302         31,809
Oct 1 4/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 3/    :                 3,689            155          969          4,813
Aug 1       :                 3,581             88        1,261          4,930
Oct 1 4/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       : 1,439,020     695,130      3,006,370        8,120      5,148,640
Aug 1       :   234,960     299,330        894,850       13,700      1,442,830
Oct 1 4/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 3/    :               167,330          7,030       43,950        218,310
Aug 1       :               162,430          3,990       57,200        223,620
Oct 1 4/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
    2001    :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :    18,715      10,838         53,814        2,653         86,020
Aug 1       :       921       5,178         15,699          220         22,018
Oct 1 4/    :         *         953          4,790            *          5,914
Dec 1       :    52,680      13,033         88,127          721        154,561
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :                 4,057            129          798          4,984
Aug 1       :                 3,896            165          376          4,437
Oct 1 4/    :                   859              0            0            859
Dec 1       :                 4,640            187        1,080          5,907
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :   848,900     491,600      2,440,960      120,340      3,901,800
Aug 1       :    41,780     234,870        712,090        9,980        998,720
Oct 1 4/    :         *      43,230        217,270            *        268,250
Dec 1       : 2,389,520     591,170      3,997,370       32,700      7,010,770
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :               184,020          5,850       36,200        226,070
Aug 1       :               176,720          7,480       17,060        201,260
Oct 1 4/    :                38,960              0            0         38,960
Dec1        :               210,470          8,480       48,990        267,940
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  October includes small amount stored on farms.
2/  Total may not add due to rounding.
3/  Revised.
4/  CA only.




     Rice Stocks:  By Position, State and United States, August 1, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :  On Farms  :  In Mills  :  In Whses   :             :
            :     or     :    and     :     not     :  In Ports   :    Total
            :    Farm    :  Attached  :  Attached   :    or In    :     All
    State   :   Whses    :   Whses    :  to Mills   :   Transit   :  Positions
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                          August 1, 2002
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
AR          :   2,960        3,929         9,474             0        16,363
CA          :       *          902         6,897             *         8,213
LA          :       *            *             *             0             *
MS          :       *            *         1,315             0         2,156
MO          :     700            *             *             0             *
TX          :     200            *         1,106             *         2,210
Unall*      :   1,320        1,768           936           302         2,867
            :
US          :   5,180        6,599        19,728           302        31,809
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                1,532             *             *         1,790
CA          :                  733             0           600         1,333
LA          :                    *             *             *             *
MS          :                  134             0             7           141
MO          :                    *             0             0             *
TX          :                  773             0             0           773
Unall*      :                  409            88           654           893
            :
US          :                3,581            88         1,261         4,930
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                          August 1, 2001
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
AR          :     600        3,510         5,340           220         9,670
CA          :     125          565         9,606             0        10,296
LA          :       *            *             *             0             *
MS          :       *            *             *             0             *
MO          :       *            *             *             0             *
TX          :      50          270           120             0           440
Unall*      :     146          833           633             0         1,612
            :
US          :     921        5,178        15,699           220        22,018
            :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                1,489           152           238         1,879
CA          :                1,440             0            43         1,483
LA          :                    *             *             *             *
MS          :                    *             *             *             *
MO          :                    *             *             *             *
TX          :                  443             0             0           443
Unall*      :                  524            13            95           632
            :
US          :                3,896           165           376         4,437
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.




            Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
        California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :      Long      :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
   State   :--------------------------------------------------------------------
           :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  :  2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :                             1,000 Cwt
           :
CA         :     *        *    9,217   7,287      *        *    10,296    8,213
           :
Oth Sts 1/ :     *        *    3,624   1,190      *        *    11,722   23,596
           :
US         : 8,305   22,743   12,841   8,477    872      589    22,018   31,809
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.


            Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
        California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
   State  :      Long       :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2001  :  2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  :  2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    36       36      918      852     82       66    1,036      954
          :
Oth Sts 1/: 2,251    2,752      289      180      5        6    2,545    2,938
          :
US        : 2,287    2,788    1,207    1,032     87       72    3,581    3,892
          :
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                           Broken Kernels
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  Second Heads   : Screenings 2/  :    Brewers     :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2001  :  2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  :  2002
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :   412      345                       35       34      447      379
          :
Oth Sts 1/:   255      351       72      133     82      175      409      659
          :
US        :   667      696       72      133    117      209      856    1,038
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
2/  Screenings included with second heads in CA.




     Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :  On Farms  :  In Mills  :  In Whses   :             :
            :     or     :    and     :     not     :  In Ports   :    Total
    State   :    Farm    :  Attached  :  Attached   :    or In    :     All
            :   Whses    :   Whses    :  to Mills   :   Transit   :  Positions
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                           March 1, 2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
AR 1/       :   18,300        7,590       31,592            62         57,544
CA          :    1,125        1,689       21,277             0         24,091
LA          :    3,400            *            *             *          9,931
MS          :    4,200          491        2,967             0          7,658
MO          :        *            *            *             0          6,502
TX 1/       :        *            *        3,703             *          7,782
Unall*      :    4,700        5,555        6,740           117
            :
US 1/       :   31,725       15,325       66,279           179        113,508
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                 1,591          155           441          2,187
CA          :                   925            0             0            925
LA          :                   445            0           462            907
MS          :                     *            0             *              *
MO          :                     *            0             *              *
TX          :                   606            0             0            606
Unall*      :                   122            0            66            188
            :
US          :                 3,689          155           969          4,813
            :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                           March 1, 2001
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
AR          :   10,500        6,708       26,400                       43,608
CA          :    1,810            *       21,269             *         24,356
LA          :    1,800        1,406        2,103            77          5,386
MS          :        *            *            *             *          5,234
MO          :        *            *            *             *          3,816
TX          :    1,105          645        1,845            25          3,620
Unall*      :    3,500        2,079        2,197         2,551
            :
US          :   18,715       10,838       53,814         2,653         86,020
            :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                 1,570           40           290          1,900
CA          :                 1,393            0           185          1,578
LA          :                     *            *             *              *
MS          :                     *            *             *              *
MO          :                     *            *             *              *
TX          :                   499            *             *            567
Unall*      :                   595           89           323            939
            :
US          :                 4,057          129           798          4,984
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  Revised.
*   Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.




            Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
         California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :      Long      :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
   State   :--------------------------------------------------------------------
           :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  :  2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :                             1,000 Cwt
           :
CA         :      *       *   21,812  22,212       *        *   24,356   24,091
           :
Oth Sts 1/ :      *       *   10,692   6,303       *        *   61,664   89,417
           :
US         : 51,428  83,723   32,504  28,515   2,088    1,270   86,020  113,508
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.


            Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
         California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2001-2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
   State  :      Long       :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2001  :  2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  :  2002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    43       18      911     424      79      110    1,033      552
          :
Oth Sts 1/: 2,427    3,204      253     198       5        0    2,685    3,402
          :
US        : 2,470    3,222    1,164     622      84      110    3,718    3,954
          :
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                           Broken Kernels
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  Second Heads   : Screenings 2/  :    Brewers     :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2001  :  2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  : 2002  :  2001  :  2002
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :   491      352        0       0      54       21      545      373
          :
Oth Sts 1/:   544      296        3     139     174       51      721      486
          :
US        : 1,035      648        3     139     228       72    1,266      859
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
2/  Screenings included with second heads in CA.




       Reliability of August 1, 2002 Rice Stocks Estimates

Survey Procedures:  The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on
surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys were
conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates.  The on-farm stocks
survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that ensures all
operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be selected.  These
producers were asked to provide the total quantities of grain stored on their
operations as of August 1, 2002. Off-farm stocks are a census of all known
rice storage facilities.  An effort is made to obtain reports from all
off-farm facilities.  Estimates are made for missing facilities to assure
complete coverage.

Estimation Procedures:  On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at the
State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with historical
estimates, and current crop size.  After estimates are made for on-farm and
off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined and evaluated using
the balance sheet approach.  This method utilizes other sources of data to
check the reasonableness of the stocks estimates.  Estimates of production,
exports, and millings are reviewed to make sure beginning stocks, production,
utilization, and ending stocks are within reasonable balance and present the
best possible estimate of stocks.

Revision Policy:  On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in the
quarter following initial publication and again in the following December 1
"Rice Stocks" report published in January each year.  Revisions can be made
when late reports are received, errors are detected in reporting and
calculating, and when production estimates are revised. Estimates will also be
reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of Agriculture are available.  No
revisions to these years will be made after that date.

Reliability:  Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be treated
separately because the survey design for the two surveys are drastically
different.  The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to sampling variability
because all operations holding on-farm stocks are not included in the sample.

Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omission,
duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in reporting,
recording, and processing the data.  Off-farm, as well as on-farm stocks, are
subject to these types of errors.  These errors cannot be measured directly,
but they are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection
process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and
reasonableness.


The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 30,
2002.




The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in
all its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, gender,
religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital
or family status.  (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.)  Persons
with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program
information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's
TARGET Center at 202-720-2600 (voice and TDD).

To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil
Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW,
Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD).  USDA is an
equal opportunity provider and employer.         
                                


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