USDA U.S. Department of Agriculture - August 28, 2003
Gr Lg 11-3 (8-03)
Rice
Stocks
National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA
Washington, D.C.
Released August 28, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture.
For information on "Rice Stocks" call Mark R. Miller at (202) 720-7688,
office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.
Rough Rice Stocks Down 37 Percent From August 2002
Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 2003, totaled
20.1 million hundredweight (cwt), down 37 percent from the total on
August 1, 2002. Stocks held on farms totaled 1.23 million cwt, and
off-farm stocks totaled 18.8 million cwt. Long grain varieties accounted
for 58 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for
39 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 3 percent.
Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 4.57 million cwt, 7 percent
below the comparable figure a year ago. Milled rice stocks were
comprised of 3.34 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.23 million cwt
of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice.
Rice Stocks: By Position, United States, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : :
: or : and : not : In Ports : Total
Date : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All
: Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit :Positions 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2003 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 : 27,505 11,869 61,514 1,690 102,578
Aug 1 : 1,225 5,749 13,080 17 20,071
Oct 1 3/ :
Dec 1 :
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 : 4,494 110 2,023 6,627
Aug 1 : 3,783 54 737 4,574
Oct 1 3/ :
Dec 1 :
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Rough Rice - Metric Tons
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 : 1,247,610 538,370 2,790,230 76,660 4,652,860
Aug 1 : 55,570 260,770 593,300 770 910,410
Oct 1 3/ :
Dec 1 :
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Milled Rice - Metric Tons
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 : 203,840 4,990 91,760 300,600
Aug 1 : 171,590 2,450 33,430 207,470
Oct 1 3/ :
Dec 1 :
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
2002 : Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 : 31,725 15,325 66,279 179 113,508
Aug 1 : 5,180 6,599 19,728 302 31,809
Oct 1 3/ : * 539 2,899 * 3,488
Dec 1 : 53,220 14,251 88,421 1,178 157,070
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 : 3,689 155 969 4,813
Aug 1 : 3,581 88 1,261 4,930
Oct 1 3/ : 726 0 0 726
Dec 1 : 4,814 117 2,550 7,481
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Rough Rice - Metric Tons
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 : 1,439,020 695,130 3,006,370 8,120 5,148,640
Aug 1 : 234,960 299,330 894,850 13,700 1,442,830
Oct 1 3/ : * 24,450 131,500 * 158,210
Dec 1 : 2,414,020 646,410 4,010,710 53,430 7,124,580
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Milled Rice - Metric Tons
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1 : 167,330 7,030 43,950 218,310
Aug 1 : 162,430 3,990 57,200 223,620
Oct 1 3/ : 32,930 0 0 32,930
Dec1 : 218,360 5,310 115,670 339,330
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Not Published to avoid disclosing individual operations.
1/ Total may not add due to rounding.
3/ CA only.
Rice Stocks: By Position, State and United States, August 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : :
: or : and : not : In Ports : Total
: Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All
State : Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: August 1, 2003
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
AR : 600 4,111 4,816 0 9,527
CA : * 511 6,422 * 7,043
LA : * * * * 709
MS : * * * 0 1,644
MO : * * * 0 570
TX : 250 * * 0 578
Unall* : 375 1,127 1,842 17
:
US : 1,225 5,749 13,080 17 20,071
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
:
AR : 1,420 * * 1,545
CA : * 0 * 1,063
LA : * * * *
MS : * * * *
MO : * 0 0 *
TX : 647 0 0 647
Unall* : 1,716 54 737 1,319
:
US : 3,783 54 737 4,574
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: August 1, 2002
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
AR : 2,960 3,929 9,474 0 16,363
CA : * 902 6,897 * 8,213
LA : * * * 0 *
MS : * * 1,315 0 2,156
MO : 700 * * 0 *
TX : 200 * 1,106 * 2,210
Unall* : 1,320 1,768 936 302 2,867
:
US : 5,180 6,599 19,728 302 31,809
:
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
:
AR : 1,532 * * 1,790
CA : 733 0 600 1,333
LA : * * * *
MS : 134 0 7 141
MO : * 0 0 *
TX : 773 0 0 773
Unall* : 409 88 654 893
:
US : 3,581 88 1,261 4,930
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.
Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions,
California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Long : Medium : Short : Total
State :--------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : * * 7,287 6,257 * * 8,213 7,043
:
Oth Sts 1/ : * * 1,190 1,503 * * 23,596 13,028
:
US : 22,743 11,673 8,477 7,760 589 638 31,809 20,071
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.
Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions,
California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Long : Medium : Short : Total
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : 36 19 852 287 66 48 954 354
:
Oth Sts 1/: 2,752 2,720 180 256 6 12 2,938 2,988
:
US : 2,788 2,739 1,032 543 72 60 3,892 3,342
:
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Broken Kernels
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Second Heads : Screenings 3/ : Brewers : Total
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
:2002 1/ :2003 2/ :2002 1/ :2003 2/:2002 1/ :2003 2/:2002 1/ : 2003
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : 345 * * * 34 * 379 709
:
Oth Sts : 351 1,066 133 62 175 104 659 523
:
US : 696 1,066 133 62 209 104 1,038 1,232
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.
1/ other states included AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
2/ other states included AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
3/ Screenings included with second heads in CA
Rice Stocks: By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: On Farms : In Mills : In Whses : :
: or : and : not : In Ports : Total
State : Farm : Attached : Attached : or In : All
: Whses : Whses : to Mills : Transit : Positions
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: March 1, 2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
AR : 15,600 8,036 29,783 4 53,423
CA : * 1,532 18,640 * 22,241
LA : 2,400 * * * 8,608
MS : 4,800 * 3,215 * 8,566
MO : * * * 0 4,430
TX : 1,600 620 3,090 0 5,310
Unall* : 3,105 1,681 6,786 1,686 0
:
US : 27,505 11,869 61,514 1,690 102,578
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
:
AR : 1,619 110 290 2,019
CA : 1,654 0 430 2,084
LA : 135 0 1,293 1,428
MS : * 0 * *
MO : * 0 * *
TX : 952 0 0 952
Unall* : 134 0 10 144
:
US : 4,494 110 2,023 6,627
:
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: March 1, 2002
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
AR : 18,300 7,590 31,592 62 57,544
CA : 1,125 1,689 21,277 0 24,091
LA : 3,400 * * * 9,931
MS : 4,200 491 2,967 0 7,658
MO : * * * 0 6,502
TX : * * 3,703 * 7,782
Unall* : 4,700 5,555 6,740 117 0
:
US : 31,725 15,325 66,279 179 113,508
:
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
: Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
:-------------------------------------------------------------------
:
AR : 1,591 155 441 2,187
CA : 925 0 0 925
LA : 445 0 462 907
MS : * 0 * *
MO : * 0 * *
TX : 606 0 0 606
Unall* : 122 0 66 188
:
US : 3,689 155 969 4,813
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.
Rough Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions,
California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Long : Medium : Short : Total
State :--------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : * * 22,212 20,564 * * 24,091 22,241
:
Oth Sts 1/ : * * 6,303 4,965 * * 89,417 80,337
:
US : 83,723 75,733 28,515 25,529 1,270 1,316 113,508 102,578
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
* Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA.
Milled Rice Stocks: By Length of Grain in All Positions,
California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
State : Long : Medium : Short : Total
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : 18 15 424 1,134 110 58 552 1,207
:
Oth Sts 1/: 3,204 3,641 198 217 0 1 3,402 3,859
:
US : 3,222 3,656 622 1,351 110 59 3,954 5,066
:
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Broken Kernels
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: Second Heads : Screenings 2/ : Brewers : Total
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003 : 2002 : 2003
:---------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Cwt
:
CA : 352 800 * * 21 77 373 877
:
Oth Sts 1/: 296 390 139 146 51 148 486 684
:
US : 648 1,190 139 146 72 225 859 1,561
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
2/ Screenings included with second heads in CA.
Reliability of August 1, 2003 Rice Stocks Estimates
Survey Procedures: The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on
surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys
were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates. The on-farm
stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that
ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be
selected. These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of
grain stored on their operations as of August 1, 2003. Off-farm stocks
are a census of all known rice storage facilities. An effort is made to
obtain reports from all off-farm facilities. Estimates are made for
missing facilities to assure complete coverage.
Estimation Procedures: On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at
the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with
historical estimates, and current crop size. After estimates are made
for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined
and evaluated using the balance sheet approach. This method utilizes
other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks
estimates. Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed
to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks
are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of
stocks.
Revision Policy: On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in
the quarter following initial publication and again in the following
December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year.
Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected
in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised.
Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of
Agriculture are available. No revisions to these years will be made
after that date.
Reliability: Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be
treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are
drastically different. The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to
sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are
not included in the sample.
Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as
omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in
reporting, recording, and processing the data. Off-farm, as well as
on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors. These errors
cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality
controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all
reported data for consistency and reasonableness.
The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October
30, 2003.
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