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USDA : Rice stocks, 8.28.03

USDA U.S. Department of Agriculture - August 28, 2003


Gr Lg 11-3  (8-03)




Rice
Stocks

National Agricultural Statistics Service
USDA
Washington, D.C.


Released August 28, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. 
For information on "Rice Stocks" call Mark R. Miller at (202) 720-7688,
office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.



Rough Rice Stocks Down 37 Percent From August 2002

Rough rice stocks in all positions on August 1, 2003, totaled
20.1 million hundredweight (cwt), down 37 percent from the total on
August 1, 2002.  Stocks held on farms totaled 1.23 million cwt, and
off-farm stocks totaled 18.8 million cwt.  Long grain varieties accounted
for 58 percent of the total rough rice, medium grain accounted for
39 percent, and short grain varieties accounted for 3 percent.

Milled rice stocks in all positions totaled 4.57 million cwt, 7 percent
below the comparable figure a year ago.  Milled rice stocks were
comprised of 3.34 million cwt of whole kernel rice and 1.23 million cwt
of second heads, screenings, and brewers rice.




               Rice Stocks:  By Position, United States, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :  On Farms  :  In Mills  :  In Whses   :             :
            :     or     :    and     :     not     :  In Ports   :    Total
    Date    :    Farm    :  Attached  :  Attached   :    or In    :     All
            :   Whses    :   Whses    :  to Mills   :   Transit   :Positions 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2003    :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :    27,505      11,869         61,514        1,690        102,578
Aug 1       :     1,225       5,749         13,080           17         20,071
Oct 1 3/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :                 4,494            110        2,023          6,627
Aug 1       :                 3,783             54          737          4,574
Oct 1 3/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       : 1,247,610     538,370      2,790,230       76,660      4,652,860
Aug 1       :    55,570     260,770        593,300          770        910,410
Oct 1 3/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :               203,840          4,990       91,760        300,600
Aug 1       :               171,590          2,450       33,430        207,470
Oct 1 3/    :
Dec 1       :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
    2002    :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :    31,725      15,325         66,279          179        113,508
Aug 1       :     5,180       6,599         19,728          302         31,809
Oct 1 3/    :         *         539          2,899            *          3,488
Dec 1       :    53,220      14,251         88,421        1,178        157,070
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :                 3,689            155          969          4,813
Aug 1       :                 3,581             88        1,261          4,930
Oct 1 3/    :                   726              0            0            726
Dec 1       :                 4,814            117        2,550          7,481
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Rough Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       : 1,439,020     695,130      3,006,370        8,120      5,148,640
Aug 1       :   234,960     299,330        894,850       13,700      1,442,830
Oct 1 3/    :         *      24,450        131,500            *        158,210
Dec 1       : 2,414,020     646,410      4,010,710       53,430      7,124,580
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                     Milled Rice - Metric Tons
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mar 1       :               167,330          7,030       43,950        218,310
Aug 1       :               162,430          3,990       57,200        223,620
Oct 1 3/    :                32,930              0            0         32,930
Dec1        :               218,360          5,310      115,670        339,330
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Not Published to avoid disclosing individual operations.
1/  Total may not add due to rounding.
3/  CA only.




     Rice Stocks:  By Position, State and United States, August 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :  On Farms  :  In Mills  :  In Whses   :             :
            :     or     :    and     :     not     :  In Ports   :    Total
            :    Farm    :  Attached  :  Attached   :    or In    :     All
    State   :   Whses    :   Whses    :  to Mills   :   Transit   :  Positions
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                          August 1, 2003
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
AR          :     600        4,111         4,816             0         9,527
CA          :       *          511         6,422             *         7,043
LA          :       *            *             *             *           709
MS          :       *            *             *             0         1,644
MO          :       *            *             *             0           570
TX          :     250            *             *             0           578
Unall*      :     375        1,127         1,842            17
            :
US          :   1,225        5,749        13,080            17        20,071
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                1,420             *             *         1,545
CA          :                    *             0             *         1,063
LA          :                    *             *             *             *
MS          :                    *             *             *             *
MO          :                    *             0             0             *
TX          :                  647             0             0           647
Unall*      :                1,716            54           737         1,319
            :
US          :                3,783            54           737         4,574
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                          August 1, 2002
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
AR          :   2,960        3,929         9,474             0        16,363
CA          :       *          902         6,897             *         8,213
LA          :       *            *             *             0             *
MS          :       *            *         1,315             0         2,156
MO          :     700            *             *             0             *
TX          :     200            *         1,106             *         2,210
Unall*      :   1,320        1,768           936           302         2,867
            :
US          :   5,180        6,599        19,728           302        31,809
            :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                1,532             *             *         1,790
CA          :                  733             0           600         1,333
LA          :                    *             *             *             *
MS          :                  134             0             7           141
MO          :                    *             0             0             *
TX          :                  773             0             0           773
Unall*      :                  409            88           654           893
            :
US          :                3,581            88         1,261         4,930
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.




            Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
        California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :      Long      :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
   State   :--------------------------------------------------------------------
           :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  :  2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :                             1,000 Cwt
           :
CA         :      *       *   7,287    6,257      *        *     8,213    7,043
           :
Oth Sts 1/ :      *       *   1,190    1,503      *        *    23,596   13,028
           :
US         : 22,743  11,673   8,477    7,760    589      638    31,809   20,071
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.


            Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
        California, Other States, and United States, August 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
   State  :      Long       :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2002  :  2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  :  2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    36       19      852     287      66       48      954      354
          :
Oth Sts 1/: 2,752    2,720      180     256       6       12    2,938    2,988
          :
US        : 2,788    2,739    1,032     543      72       60    3,892    3,342
          :
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                           Broken Kernels
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  Second Heads   : Screenings 3/  :    Brewers     :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :2002 1/ :2003 2/ :2002 1/ :2003 2/:2002 1/ :2003 2/:2002 1/ :  2003
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :   345        *        *       *      34        *      379      709
          :
Oth Sts   :   351    1,066      133      62     175      104      659      523
          :
US        :   696    1,066      133      62     209      104    1,038    1,232
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.
1/ other states included AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
2/ other states included AR, CA, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
3/ Screenings included with second heads in CA




     Rice Stocks:  By Position, State, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :  On Farms  :  In Mills  :  In Whses   :             :
            :     or     :    and     :     not     :  In Ports   :    Total
    State   :    Farm    :  Attached  :  Attached   :    or In    :     All
            :   Whses    :   Whses    :  to Mills   :   Transit   :  Positions
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                           March 1, 2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
AR          :   15,600        8,036       29,783             4         53,423
CA          :        *        1,532       18,640             *         22,241
LA          :    2,400            *            *             *          8,608
MS          :    4,800            *        3,215             *          8,566
MO          :        *            *            *             0          4,430
TX          :    1,600          620        3,090             0          5,310
Unall*      :    3,105        1,681        6,786         1,686              0
            :
US          :   27,505       11,869       61,514         1,690        102,578
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                 1,619          110           290          2,019
CA          :                 1,654            0           430          2,084
LA          :                   135            0         1,293          1,428
MS          :                     *            0             *              *
MO          :                     *            0             *              *
TX          :                   952            0             0            952
Unall*      :                   134            0            10            144
            :
US          :                 4,494          110         2,023          6,627
            :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                           March 1, 2002
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Rough Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
AR          :   18,300        7,590       31,592            62         57,544
CA          :    1,125        1,689       21,277             0         24,091
LA          :    3,400            *            *             *          9,931
MS          :    4,200          491        2,967             0          7,658
MO          :        *            *            *             0          6,502
TX          :        *            *        3,703             *          7,782
Unall*      :    4,700        5,555        6,740           117              0
            :
US          :   31,725       15,325       66,279           179        113,508
            :
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :                      Milled Rice - 1,000 Cwt
            :-------------------------------------------------------------------
            :
AR          :                 1,591          155           441          2,187
CA          :                   925            0             0            925
LA          :                   445            0           462            907
MS          :                     *            0             *              *
MO          :                     *            0             *              *
TX          :                   606            0             0            606
Unall*      :                   122            0            66            188
            :
US          :                 3,689          155           969          4,813
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*  Included in unallocated to avoid disclosing individual operations.




            Rough Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
         California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :      Long      :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
   State   :--------------------------------------------------------------------
           :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  :  2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           :                             1,000 Cwt
           :
CA         :      *       *   22,212  20,564       *        *   24,091   22,241
           :
Oth Sts 1/ :      *       *    6,303   4,965       *        *   89,417   80,337
           :
US         : 83,723  75,733   28,515  25,529   1,270    1,316  113,508  102,578
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
* Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations in CA.


            Milled Rice Stocks:  By Length of Grain in All Positions,
         California, Other States, and United States, March 1, 2002-2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                      Whole Kernels (Head Rice)
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
   State  :      Long       :     Medium     :     Short      :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2002  :  2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  :  2003
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :    18       15     424     1,134    110       58      552    1,207
          :
Oth Sts 1/: 3,204    3,641     198       217      0        1    3,402    3,859
          :
US        : 3,222    3,656     622     1,351    110       59    3,954    5,066
          :
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                           Broken Kernels
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  Second Heads   : Screenings 2/  :    Brewers     :      Total
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :  2002  :  2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  : 2003  :  2002  :  2003
          :---------------------------------------------------------------------
          :                              1,000 Cwt
          :
CA        :   352      800       *         *     21       77      373      877
          :
Oth Sts 1/:   296      390     139       146     51      148      486      684
          :
US        :   648    1,190     139       146     72      225      859    1,561
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/  AR, LA, MS, MO, and TX.
2/  Screenings included with second heads in CA.




     Reliability of August 1, 2003 Rice Stocks Estimates

Survey Procedures:  The rice stocks estimates in this report are based on
surveys conducted during the first 2 weeks of August. Separate surveys
were conducted to obtain the on-farm and off-farm estimates.  The on-farm
stocks survey is a probability survey based on a sampling procedure that
ensures all operations storing rice in the U.S. have a chance to be
selected.  These producers were asked to provide the total quantities of
grain stored on their operations as of August 1, 2003. Off-farm stocks
are a census of all known rice storage facilities.  An effort is made to
obtain reports from all off-farm facilities.  Estimates are made for
missing facilities to assure complete coverage.

Estimation Procedures:  On-farm and off-farm survey data are reviewed at
the State and national levels for reasonableness, consistency with
historical estimates, and current crop size.  After estimates are made
for on-farm and off-farm rice stocks, the total of these two are combined
and evaluated using the balance sheet approach.  This method utilizes
other sources of data to check the reasonableness of the stocks
estimates.  Estimates of production, exports, and millings are reviewed
to make sure beginning stocks, production, utilization, and ending stocks
are within reasonable balance and present the best possible estimate of
stocks.

Revision Policy:  On-farm and off-farm stocks are subject to revision in
the quarter following initial publication and again in the following
December 1 "Rice Stocks" report published in January each year. 
Revisions can be made when late reports are received, errors are detected
in reporting and calculating, and when production estimates are revised. 
Estimates will also be reviewed after data for the 5-year Census of
Agriculture are available.  No revisions to these years will be made
after that date.

Reliability:  Reliability of the on-farm and off-farm stocks must be
treated separately because the survey design for the two surveys are
drastically different.  The on-farm stocks estimates are subject to
sampling variability because all operations holding on-farm stocks are
not included in the sample.

Survey indications are also subject to non-sampling errors such as
omission, duplication, imputation for missing data, and mistakes in
reporting, recording, and processing the data.  Off-farm, as well as
on-farm stocks, are subject to these types of errors.  These errors
cannot be measured directly, but they are minimized through rigid quality
controls in the data collection process and a careful review of all
reported data for consistency and reasonableness.


The next "Rice Stocks" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on October
30, 2003.




The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits
discrimination in all its programs on the basis of race, color, national
origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual
orientation, and marital or family status.  (Not all prohibited bases
apply to all programs.)  Persons with disabilities who require
alternative means for communication of program information (braille,
large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA's TARGET Center at
202-720-2600 (voice and TDD).

To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of
Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW,
Washington, D.C., 20250-9410, or call 202-720-5964 (voice or TDD).  USDA
is an equal opportunity provider and employer.         
                              


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